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There is no formula it really depends on how well the company does. Some companies will take them 5 or 6 years of cooking the books before they start making any money. THe best formula for an anual return is self evaluation.

Go look at the filiing for the company. Say a company is trading at $7 per share but you think they could gain value at there current growth rates. So you take a look at the average rate of growth that the company grows each year. We’ll say 14% or something. So if a company grows at a 14% different each year. THat would be this.

(7 * 0.14) + 7 + dividends = value of compnay at current growth for a year.
Then figure out that value and do the same thing. If you take all your dividends and buy more share you can get a nice compounding effect going on.

Its pretty simple. WHat I do is look at there balance sheet. What is the market cap, average growth rate, volitity.